Last week, I was
driving on the road out of the promised land – some refer to it as
“Interstate 35” - through northern Iowa. It was the weekend
before the Republican Iowa Caucuses, but because of some stellar
luck, I got a sneak preview of the results. Out of all of the GOP
presidential candidate bumper stickers I saw, most were for Rep. Ron
Paul. The others, well....OK I only saw two...and they were both
supporting Paul.
With this
knowledge, I did pretty well in predicting the winner. Or, at least
the third place finisher.
With the great
predictability of my sample, I'm surprised the GOP even held any
debates in the Hawkeye state or that the Des Moines Register spent
the money to annoy the states residents with phone polls.*
*With some
first hand knowledge (again, a robust sample size of 1), I learned
that in the weeks leading up to the Iowa Causes Iowegians treat phone
calls like they are transmitters of the bubonic plague. A phone call
means a) Candidate X wants to see how you are voting b) Candidate X
is encouraging you to go to the Iowa Caucus c) Candidate X thinks
that Candidate Y's record is insufficient d) a Super PAC is doing
black ops work on behalf of Candidate Y to counter Candidate X's
claims or e) A polling group is asking about hypothetical
hypotheticals.
The GOP Iowa
Caucuses* are a staple to presidential politics. Like butter and corn. Quadrennially (how bout that for a vocab word?) people from
across the nation criticize the fact that Iowa gets to have the
first-in-the-nation shot at the candidates from one or both of the
parties. The typical logic for this argument is that Iowa is too
white, too evangelical, to corny (as in they like their corn
subsidies...), and just generally doesn't reflect the nation so why
should they have priority in narrowing down the field.
*Lets call it
GOPIAC for short. Even though that does sound like a new
prescription drug. But that could work too. “Gopiac is intended
for Iowa Republicans who are sick of receiving incessant phone calls
and having their small town cafes invaded by legions of media. Gopiac will cure these symptoms as well as narrowing down the
list of candidates vying for the GOP nomination. It is not intended
to chose the nominee nor is it recommended to be taken
without first researching the candidates. It has also been
demonstrated to prevent bubonic plague transferred via phone calls.”
This could also work for the DEMIAC. “It is not recommended to
take Demiac and Gopiac in the same year...”
While these
points may be somewhat valid, this sentiment doesn't give Iowa enough
credit for its diversity of culture and opinions. Iowa may not
perfectly represent the US, but they do a better job
than coasties give them credit for. Really, the coasties don't
like Iowa having such an important position because, well, they want
to be first.
The real problem
isn’t that Iowa has a caucus on January 3rd, it’s that other
states aren’t allowed to do the same.
First, there are small town coffee shops in Montana and Minnesota*
that need business, too. Second, babies in all states are deserving
of kisses, holding, and awkward pictures (then again, all politician-baby pictures are all awkward...I still wonder why this happens). Third, and I suppose most importantly, every state will vote for
and is affected by the president and his actions, so why give one
state a disproportional say in guiding these outcomes?
*Given the
brightness of the small-town-cafe spotlight that shines on Iowa
during the GOPIAC and DEMIAC, there is probably some radiant heat
making its way north to the Promised Land.
Picking one area
to have such a great say in important matters does not happen in
statewide gubernatorial elections – could you imagine what would
happen if one county got to have a primary before all of the others?
Having one state lead the way is like using my super-scientific
sample of Iowa bumper stickers to determine who the nominee will be –
it is not representative and gives arbitrary influence to a certain
group.
My solution:
have the state political parties agree to a single day for their
caucuses or primaries. Currently, numerous states do this on Super
Tuesday in early March the year of the election year. One vote (or
voice, in the case of the verbal caucus set-up) per person. Ensures
candidates have appeal to the citizenry from every state. Eliminates
the jockeying that states do to move up their caucuses/elections.
This is not
likely to happen any time soon.
The parties will have trouble (←
understatement) encouraging their state subsidiaries to fall in line
and Iowegians will go through Gopiac and Demiac withdrawal. Then again,
most of them probably wont mind being able to answer their phones
every fourth December without fear of contracting bubonic plague.
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